Lisa solidified a compact core yesterday, and the storm has gradually strengthened since, this morning becoming the sixth hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.

The hurricane is forecast to strike Belize later tonight as a Category 1 hurricane, bringing the threat for strong winds, up to 7 feet of dangerous storm surge, and flash flooding from Belize inland to Guatemala and parts of southern Mexico this week.

Though morning microwave satellite and radar show a nascent eyewall open to Lisa’s southwest, perhaps stunting otherwise quicker strengthening with the intrusion of mid-level dry air, the storm still has another 12 hours or so over warm water to intensify further before landfall.